
Blenheim Syndicate 5886
Syndicate Annual Report and Accounts
34
Notes to the Syndicate Annual Report and Accounts
(continued)
3. Critical accounting judgements and key sources of estimation
uncertainty
In preparing these Annual Syndicate Accounts, the Directors of the Managing Agent have
made judgements,
estimates and assumptions that affect the application of the Syndicate’s
accounting policies and the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, income and expenses.
Critical accounting judgements
There have been no critical accounting judgements made in the process of applying the
Syndicate’s accounting policies, other than those involving estimations that have had a
significant effect on the amounts recognised in the Annual Syndicate Accounts.
Key sources of estimation uncertainty
The key sources of estimation uncertainty at the Statement of Financial Position date that have
a significant risk of causing material adjustment to the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities
within the next financial year are discussed below.
Gross premiums written
Gross premiums written are a key source of estimation uncertainty as it relies upon the
underwriter’s judgement of pipeline premium at policy level as well as projection of future
premiums at portfolio level based, primarily on the assumption past premium development can
be used to project future premium development.
For certain insurance contracts, premium is initially recognised based on estimates of ultimate
premiums. These estimates, primarily relating to binder business, are judgemental and actual
results could differ significantly differ from those estimated in the Annual Syndicate Accounts.
£115.3m of pipeline premium is included in gross premiums written. If the pipeline premium
were to change by 5%, this would have £5.8m impact on gross premiums written.
Claims outstanding and related reinsurance recoveries
The measurement of the provision for claims outstanding involves assumptions and estimates
about the future that have the most significant effect on the amounts recognised in the
Syndicate Annual Report and Accounts.
The provision for claims outstanding comprises the estimated cost of settling all claims incurred
but unpaid at the Statement of Financial Position date, whether reported or not. This is a
judgemental and complex area due to the subjectivity inherent in estimating the impact of
claims events that have occurred but for which the eventual outcome remains uncertain. In
particular, judgement is applied when estimating the value of amounts that should be provided
for claims that have been incurred at the reporting date but have not yet been reported to the
Syndicate.
The ultimate cost of outstanding claims is estimated using a range of techniques including
actuarial and statistical projections, benchmarking and case by case review. Statistical
techniques assume that past claims development experience can be used as a basis to project
ultimate claims costs. Judgement is used to assess the extent to which past trends may not
apply in the future. Case estimates are generally set by skilled claims technicians applying their
experience and knowledge to the circumstances of individual claims.
Whilst the Directors consider that the gross provision for claims and the related reinsurance
recoveries are fairly stated based on the information currently available to them, the ultimate
liability will vary as a result of subsequent information and events. Please see note 24.